Two calendar pages showing November 10, 2026 and January 10, 2027, the two end dates for China’s rare earth export control pause
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China’s Rare Earth Export Controls: What Is in Force and What Is Paused

China’s rare earth export controls are back on the calendar. In November 2025, Beijing suspended a sweeping package of new controls for one year, until November 10, 2026. In September 2026 the wider US–China trade truce was extended to January 10, 2027, but China has not yet published a legal notice moving the rare earth date. This guide explains what is controlled today, what is suspended, what could return, and what it means for magnets, motors and the companies that buy them.

Short answer: Two sets of rules matter. The April 2025 controls on seven medium and heavy rare earths, including dysprosium and terbium, are in force and were never suspended. The October 2025 package, which added five more elements, equipment, technology and a rule reaching foreign-made products with as little as 0.1% Chinese rare earth content, is suspended. The legal suspension ends on November 10, 2026; the trade truce points to January 10, 2027. As of November 3, 2026, China has not published a notice changing the November 10 date.

Key takeaways

  • Licenses have been required since April 4, 2025 to export samarium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, lutetium, scandium and yttrium, along with some magnets that contain them. That has not changed.
  • The October 9, 2025 package (MOFCOM Announcements Nos. 55 to 58, 61 and 62) was suspended by Announcement No. 70 from November 7, 2025 to November 10, 2026.
  • On September 28, 2026, China’s commerce ministry said the US–China arrangement now runs to January 10, 2027, but the statement did not name rare earths. No legal notice had followed as of November 3.
  • Enforcement has tightened in 2026: China blacklisted two US rare earth producers in June and opened a rewarded tip-off channel for export control violations in July.
  • If the package returns, the biggest change is extraterritorial: products made outside China could need Chinese approval if they contain 0.1% or more Chinese-origin rare earths by value.
  • Neodymium and praseodymium, the main magnet metals, are not on either list, but most NdFeB magnets for hot applications also contain dysprosium or terbium.

How we got here: a timeline

Timeline of China’s rare earth export controls: the April 2025 rules in force since April 2025, and the October 2025 package suspended until November 10, 2026, with the trade truce running to January 10, 2027
The April 2025 licensing rules were never paused. The October 2025 package is suspended until November 10, 2026 under Announcement No. 70; the wider US–China truce runs to January 10, 2027.
DateWhat happenedStatus
April 4, 2025Announcement No. 18: export licenses for seven medium and heavy rare earths and related productsIn force
October 9, 2025Six announcements: five more elements, rare earth equipment and materials, lithium battery and graphite anode materials, superhard materials, a 0.1% extraterritorial rule, and controls on rare earth technologySuspended
Late October 2025Trump–Xi meeting in South Korea; trade truce agreed after talks in Kuala LumpurBasis of the pause
November 7, 2025Announcement No. 70 suspends the October package until November 10, 2026Legal end date
June 22, 2026China adds 10 US entities to its export control list, including rare earth producers MP Materials and USA Rare EarthIn force
July 1, 2026Announcement No. 26 of 2026 takes effect: a reporting channel, with rewards, for suspected violations of strategic mineral export controlsIn force
September 23–28, 2026US and China extend the trade arrangement to January 10, 2027, during Xi’s state visit to WashingtonRare earths not named
November 10, 2026Suspension under No. 70 expires unless China amends itNot amended as of October 20
January 1, 2027US defense rule bans NdFeB and SmCo magnets with any Chinese supply-chain stepUpcoming
January 10, 2027End of the extended US–China trade arrangementUpcoming

What is controlled right now

The April 2025 controls cover seven elements: samarium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, lutetium, scandium and yttrium. Exporters need a license from China’s Ministry of Commerce for the metals, alloys, oxides, compounds and some magnets that contain them. Licenses are reviewed case by case, which in practice means delays and, for some buyers, refusals.

The effect shows up in trade data. Chinese exports of dysprosium, terbium and yttrium have run roughly 50% below their pre-April 2025 levels, and prices outside China have pulled far away from prices inside it. In September 2026, dysprosium oxide in Europe cost about 16 times the Chinese domestic price.

China has also been enforcing the rules it already has more actively. In June 2026 it put 10 US entities on its export control list, among them MP Materials and USA Rare Earth, the two largest US rare earth producers. Nobody, in China or elsewhere, may now transfer Chinese-origin dual-use items to them. From July 1, 2026, Announcement No. 26 lets companies and individuals report suspected violations of strategic mineral export controls, with rewards for verified tips. Neither step needed the suspended October package.

What is suspended, and what could come back

The October 2025 package was much broader than the April list. If it returns in full, it would:

  • Add five more rare earths: holmium, erbium, thulium, europium and ytterbium.
  • Control equipment and materials used to mine, separate and process rare earths.
  • Control technology, including know-how for mining, smelting, separation, magnet making and recycling, and services such as commissioning and maintenance of production lines.
  • Reach foreign-made products. Items made outside China that contain 0.1% or more Chinese-origin rare earths by value, or that were made with Chinese rare earth technology, could need Chinese authorization to be exported, with stricter treatment for military and some advanced-technology users.
  • Cover battery materials outside rare earths: high-energy lithium-ion batteries, cathode materials and graphite anode materials.

The 0.1% rule is the part that worries manufacturers most. A motor assembled in Mexico or a turbine built in Germany could fall under Chinese licensing because of the magnets inside it. Enforcing such a rule abroad is difficult, but suppliers tend to comply rather than risk losing access to Chinese material.

November 10 or January 10?

The confusion comes from two different documents. Announcement No. 70, the legal text, says the suspension runs until November 10, 2026. The September 28, 2026 statement from China’s commerce ministry says the two countries agreed to extend “the arrangement” to January 10, 2027, and hope to find a further extension through high-level talks before the end of the year. That statement covers tariff and non-tariff measures in general and does not mention rare earths.

Most analysts expect the rare earth pause to follow the truce, but until China publishes a numbered announcement amending No. 70, the legal date is still November 10. As of November 3, 2026, no such announcement had been published.

Three scenarios

ScenarioWhat it meansWho feels it
Extend the pauseSuspension moved to January 10, 2027 or later; April 2025 licensing continuesLittle change; uncertainty rolls forward two months
Selective returnSome measures restored, for example technology and equipment, or controls aimed at defense and aerospace usersMagnet makers building plants outside China; defense supply chains
Full returnAll six October 2025 announcements take effect, including the 0.1% ruleEvery manufacturer using Chinese rare earths, including outside China

Even in the worst case, the result would be broader licensing rather than a blanket ban. China still sells rare earths abroad; the controls decide who gets them, how fast and with what paperwork.

Why China holds this leverage

China mined about 270,000 of the world’s 390,000 tonnes of rare earth oxide in 2025, roughly 69%, and handles up to 90% of processing. For the magnet metals the concentration is even higher further down the chain: about 84% of NdPr oxide and around 86% of magnet making. Our guides to rare earth elements and neodymium explain how the supply chain works.

Mining alone does not break that dependence. Separation, metal making and magnet production take years to build. A 2010 US government estimate put the time to rebuild a full domestic supply chain at up to 15 years, and even with a 4.4-fold rise in NdPr output outside China, Bloomberg Intelligence projects a global shortfall of about 36% by 2030.

What it means for magnets, EVs and wind turbines

Neodymium and praseodymium are not on either control list, so standard neodymium magnets are not directly restricted. The problem is heat. Magnets for EV motors and wind generators usually need high-temperature grades, which add dysprosium or terbium, both already controlled. That is why carmakers have been cutting heavy rare earths with grain boundary diffusion, hot-deformed magnets and motors that need no rare earths at all.

What buyers can do now

  • Ask suppliers in writing which date they are planning against, November 10 or January 10, and whether any of your parts contain Chinese-origin rare earths above 0.1% by value.
  • Map which parts contain dysprosium, terbium or samarium; those are under license today regardless of the November outcome.
  • Check whether any supplier or customer is on China’s export control list; Chinese-origin dual-use items cannot be passed on to listed companies.
  • For US defense work, check exposure to the January 1, 2027 magnet sourcing rule.
  • Look at lower heavy rare earth grades or magnet-free designs where the duty cycle allows.

FAQ

Does China ban rare earth exports?

No. There is no general China rare earth export ban. China requires export licenses for certain rare earths and related products, and it bars exports to companies on its export control list. Licenses can be delayed or refused, but exports continue.

Which rare earths does China control?

Since April 2025: samarium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, lutetium, scandium and yttrium. The suspended October 2025 package would add holmium, erbium, thulium, europium and ytterbium.

Are neodymium magnets affected?

Not directly, since neodymium and praseodymium are not listed. High-temperature neodymium magnets that contain dysprosium or terbium can be affected, and the suspended 0.1% rule could reach products containing Chinese-made magnets.

What is the 0.1% rule?

Part of the October 2025 package, now suspended. It would require Chinese authorization to export some foreign-made products that contain 0.1% or more Chinese-origin rare earths by value, or that were made using Chinese rare earth technology.

When does the suspension end?

The legal notice says November 10, 2026. The US–China trade arrangement was extended to January 10, 2027, but China had not formally moved the rare earth date as of November 20, 2026.

Sources

This article reflects the author’s personal views and publicly available information as of November 20, 2026. It is general information, not legal or trade compliance advice.

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